Archive for Tuesday, October 17, 2006

How did Paul Morrison take the lead in the AG’s race?

October 17, 2006

Here are today's headlines from the 2006 election race:

Attorney General

(LJW) Kline brings up allegation against Morrison: Atty. Gen. Phill Kline on Monday brought up a 15-year-old sexual harassment claim against Democratic challenger Paul Morrison, a move that Morrison's wife called "malicious" and proof that Kline had lost his "moral compass."

(Hutchinson News) Kline targeted over stem cell issue: A group opposing state limits on stem cell research wants voters to oust incumbent Attorney General Phill Kline over his pursuit of patient medical records.

(Wichita Eagle) Morrison surges past Kline in poll: Paul Morrison, powered by momentum in the Wichita area, has a 13-point lead over incumbent Phill Kline for Kansas attorney general in the most recent poll.
See the Survey USA poll results
Here is Washburn University political science professor Bob Beatty's take on the new SurveyUSA Poll: New SurveyUSA Poll reveals shocking Morrison bounce in AG race while Governor's race settling at 9-13 points when looking at last two polls. SurveyUSA has released its new polls on the statewide races and the results of the AG race are shocking. Whereas a month ago SurveyUSA had Kline ahead by 3pts (51%-48%), the new poll has Morrison ahead by 13 pts (56%-43%). While rumors were floating around that party polling had Morrison ahead in the race, a 13 point lead is still a surprise. ... What has happened in the last month? First, Kline's campaign was
sidetracked for a week defending and talking about the leaked campaign memo. Kline also received some criticism for comparing a staffer with abortion protest arrests to Martin Luther King. But likely the most important factor is that Paul Morrison introduced himself in debates, but more importantly in TV ads, to voters who didn't know who the heck he was. You see this in the geographical poll numbers. Morrison barely increases his support in Eastern Kansas but his numbers skyrocket in Western Kansas and Wichita. In Eastern Kansas likely voters seem to have made up their minds about Kline and Morrison (and they favor Morrison by 13-16 pts). But through his TV ads Morrison has been able to "talk" to Kansans outside of Johnson and Shawnee Counties, and according to the poll, some Republicans and moderates, upon seeing who this guy is, shifted their weak support for Kline to support for Morrison.

2nd and 3rd District Congress

(LJW) Ryun has more cash on hand than Boyda: U.S. Rep. Jim Ryun, R-Lawrence, and Democratic challenger Nancy Boyda of Topeka matched each other in raising campaign contributions over the past quarter, according to the latest reports on file Monday with the Federal Election Commission.

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